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Baines
banned
Joined: 10 Dec 2006
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 Posted: Tue Jan 23, 2007 8:42 am |
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| Eric-Jon Rössel Waugh wrote: |
| I think the problem in this discussion is that Wes and others are saying these formats are great in that they let people take advantage of their existing HDTVs, whereas I and (I think) Toups and some others are arguing more about the content itself, and whether it warrants any of this new equipment. We're starting in different places, with different intents. |
Perhaps the problem is that while you've covered the argument that the difference between DVD and HD/Blu-ray DVD isn't enough to justify a large scale switch (particularly with consumer knowledge and treatment of video,) you've also included the message that HD/Blu-ray will not succeed for those reasons.
But whether something is warranted doesn't always figure into whether it succeeds.
Which is where the difference you note comes into play, at least for some. As is evident in posts that acknowledge that people that don't even hook up their video right are still going for expensive HD TVs and the like. More than just the fanatics are looking into upgrades. Whether that will be enough is as yet undecided. As you say, it isn't an extreme upgrade. But it could still be enough of an upgrade (particularly when combined with lack of knowledge). (And if it weren't dueling HD disc formats, it would be even more likely to succeed.) |
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Baines
banned
Joined: 10 Dec 2006
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| Posted: Tue Jan 23, 2007 10:17 pm |
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| Eric-Jon Rössel Waugh wrote: |
| What you seem to be implying is that actual demand isn't a prerequisite for building a market. |
No. I'm saying that need isn't a prerequisite for demand.
Well, depending on what is meant by "need".
People certainly didn't "need" a Hummer as a personal vehicle. But the whole bigger is better status symbol mentality fueled some demand for Hummers.
Your posts have focused on why people don't really "need" HD/Blu-ray DVD. With that has been included the tone that people won't buy into such formats without some kind of additional incentive (like ceasing production of normal DVDs.)
But just because people don't need the improvements of HD/Blu-ray doesn't mean the formats are doomed. People will buy what they think they need, even if it doesn't really serve them an appreciable advantage.
Am I saying either HD or Blu-ray will dominate the DVD market without a forced phase-out of regular DVDs? No. But I'm also not saying that HD and Blu-ray are guaranteed to go the way of LaserDisc. |
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