shrugtheironteacup
man of tomorrow
Joined: 06 Dec 2006
Location: a meat
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 Posted: Sun Jan 14, 2007 9:04 pm |
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| Joe wrote: |
| Baines wrote: |
| Intentionally Wrong wrote: |
| The chihuahua races qualify as a party game in our apartment. We haven't quite gotten to the point of actually betting cash on 'em, but it's only a matter of time. |
I spent too much time trying to figure out a solution to the Chihuahua races.
On the surface, the odds seem to be the biggest factor. And the odds seem somewhat random.
Except there was one dog that always came in last, despite having odds in the 3 to 6 area. (Actually, I think I saw him place 5th once, in around 30+ races that he was in.) There was another that almost always came in last if that first dog wasn't present. One dog seemed to fall a lot more often than others, which made him a wild card that could either win or lose.
Odds generally seemed to affect how fast they left the gate, but not always how fast they ran. Someone with horrible odds might leave the gate a second late, but take off immediately.
Then there was the whole half-point thing, where some would get a second wind and rocket to the finish and others would just slowly continue.
It seemed like with enough research, you could predict a race from the line-up. Except it only seemed to work with some dogs. I could mark some of the guys that weren't going to win, but I couldn't judge who was. Amaterasu gave me real issues, as her performance wasn't even consistent across similar races (similar odds against similar opponents). Plus falling was a real problem, as you often don't have all the dogs onscreen, so you don't know if the placings are based on pure performance or someone tripping, which threw off trying to compare dogs. |
I always bet on Fission Mailed. |
I always did the really obvious thing and bet on Lucky Clover.
It worked out well for me more often than not. |
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