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2nd Presidential debate - How can Obama lose this race?
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BalbanesBeoulve
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Joined: 04 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 11:21 pm    Post subject: 2nd Presidential debate - How can Obama lose this race?    Reply with quote

2nd Presidential debate is tonight, 9pm eastern.

It's a townhall format.


And here's the current state of the race.


Most polls currently show that Obama has 260-270 safe seats, and he'd only need to win 1 of the many tossup states to win. Even Karl Rove thinks McCain is fucked right now.



Obama's been able to expand into states that have gone Republican in the past. Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Indiana.

Indiana went to Bush by 21 fucking points. it's now even.

McCain hasn't had the same success pushing into democratic territory. He dropped out of Michigan, and recent polls in Pennsylvania show him behind by double digits.

New voter registration has been up at least 2 to 1 in the democrat's favor in every swing state.

Things look fucking good for Obama right now.


So the obvious question is "how can the democrats fuck this up?" If the democrats are good at something, it's failing miserably when they should have things in the bag. McCain's going for character assasination, bringing up the William Ayers thing, and i'm sure he'll resort to Rev. Wright before November 4th as things get worse. But will that work? (i doubt it)
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negativedge
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 11:23 pm        Reply with quote

Thank you, CNN.
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Deets



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PostPosted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 11:31 pm        Reply with quote

Convince your crazy fucking base that Obama is a terr'rist, wait for assassination? Seriously.
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v84j3gs2uc7ns4



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PostPosted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 11:54 pm        Reply with quote

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sam



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 12:06 am        Reply with quote

hasn't pretty much every president been the target of multiple death threats?

i'm looking forward to this debate, hopefully mccain won't drive me to alcoholism like palin did
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DonMarco
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:06 am        Reply with quote

I am watching democracy in action!
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Talbain



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:10 am        Reply with quote

DonMarco wrote:
I am watching democracy inaction!

Fixed.
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DonMarco
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:12 am        Reply with quote


I think that klling a prez will be harder than ever. Hell, with Clinton, just slip some to a chubby intern and wait it out. Bush could have been taken out easy at his ranch, while he cleared brush and ignored natural and man-made disasters. Fucking idiot. Remember when Clinton would jog, and stop off at McDonalds? and it was national headlines?? Fuck Bush.


Silly Tolldaddy, black people can't pilot mechs. Just light-skinned blacks, mixed, or hispanic demigods.
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BalbanesBeoulve
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:15 am        Reply with quote

Barack's mom was white.
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DonMarco
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:20 am        Reply with quote

negativedge wrote:
Thank you, CNN.

Back when the first $700 bill failed to pass the HoR, Fox news ran a ticker that said "$700 billion rescue package fails! 93 Democrats voted against necessary bill earlier today"

Obviously being fair and balanced wouldn't involve mentioning that almost twice that number of Republicans voted against the bill.

I was getting little static with the CNN channel, so I'm watching it on Fox now. I miss the line graph already... :(
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DonMarco
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:29 am        Reply with quote

BalbanesBeoulve wrote:
Barack's mom was white.

I had no idea you were so racist.

Tom should be allowed to throw Nerf footballs at these two when they go over 90 seconds. It's like the 12th time he mentioned the one-minute rule.
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Adilegian
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:02 am        Reply with quote

DonMarco wrote:
It's like the 12th time he mentioned the one-minute rule.

I'm undecided on whether I like the format. I figure this can be pretty important, as far as the election goes, so maybe it's worth giving more than one minute to.

With that said, John McCain sickens me.
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negativedge
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:03 am        Reply with quote

Again, blah blah blah earmark this earmark that, oh wait, you mean we tacked on 150 billion dollars to our shit bill so our fuckface government can pretend they have some desire or ability to fix something? Whatever, lets bicker about relatively minor taxation differences that, either way, will run us into the ground when we run out of money.
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Adilegian
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:08 am        Reply with quote

negativedge wrote:
Again, blah blah blah earmark this earmark that, oh wait, you mean we tacked on 150 billion dollars to our shit bill so our fuckface government can pretend they have some desire or ability to fix something? Whatever, lets bicker about relatively minor taxation differences that, either way, will run us into the ground when we run out of money.

I don't know if you're responding to me or not, but (in case you are) I'd suggest that the relative brevity of the format makes bickering more likely as the natural result of conflicting sound bites -- which the format demands.
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negativedge
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:12 am        Reply with quote

nah, it was an open statement
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DonMarco
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:14 am        Reply with quote

This is awful. Instead of answering the question in a minute, these two are answering part of the question in twenty seconds and then spend two minutes talking about how the other guy voted for this bill four years ago and this many million or billion or blah blah blah.
Adilegian wrote:
DonMarco wrote:
It's like the 12th time he mentioned the one-minute rule.

I'm undecided on whether I like the format. I figure this can be pretty important, as far as the election goes, so maybe it's worth giving more than one minute to.

With that said, John McCain sickens me.

These questions SHOULD be easily answered in a minute. He was probably trying to avoid what happened with the first debates, where they woud start to possibly answer, then segue in to a different slam/attack/boast/proise/pre-memorized minispeech.

It's like me asking you where do you want to eat lunch at the food court. It's a fucking easy question and I expect either a simple answer "Subway sandwiches" or a long answer "I need to lay off the pizza and greasy food, had that all last week. I'm thinking Subway."

I know they'll have fun totaling the time-per-candidates. Palin-Biden, both candidates spoke for 40 minutes. Obama once said he was trying to keep pace with McCain. But who started talking longer on what question and how long in total (where each was supposed to be 1 minute).

OH SHIT A FOLLOW UP QUESTION

DEAR GOD
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Adilegian
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:27 am        Reply with quote

DonMarco wrote:
These questions SHOULD be easily answered in a minute.

Then how is it a debate?
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charlie



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:30 am        Reply with quote

Guys don't vote for Obama. He supports funding planetariums which teach our kids all sorts of crap like science and astronomy.
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DonMarco
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:44 am        Reply with quote

Adilegian wrote:
DonMarco wrote:
These questions SHOULD be easily answered in a minute.

Then how is it a debate?

It's not a person-versus-person back and forth debate like the first one. It was more ideas and postitions. Like two people up for a job interview. They should just answer the question and then the next. There were lots of questions and lots of people in the audience. In 90 minutes, they should have been able to cover 40 easy. In the end, it was more like 10. Felt like 15, anyway.

In the end, there was some back and forth. Bickering, mud-slinging, contesting...

charlie wrote:
Guys don't vote for Obama. He supports funding planetariums which teach our kids all sorts of crap like science and astronomy.

He also wants to increase NASA's budget by $2 billion! Bringing jobs to Florida! A swing state! Hisssss!
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Bo 0



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:54 am        Reply with quote

What do you guys think of the last question: what don’t you know and how will you learn it ?

By Yael T. Abouhalkah, Kansas City Star Editorial Page columnist wrote:
An ignorant question that does nothing to get either candidate to break new ground.

Barack Obama doesn't answer, and goes into his canned speech about having courage to move in a different direction.

John McCain says we don't know what's going to happen. Duh.

And he goes into his canned speech about the impossibility of predicting the unexpected.

But he does make a good point: He has faced a lot of challenges and he "knows what it's like in dark times."
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Talbain



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 3:05 am        Reply with quote

charlie wrote:
Guys don't vote for Obama. He supports funding planetariums which teach our kids all sorts of crap like science and astronomy.

Look, we all know the Sun moves around the Earth. God said so.
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BalbanesBeoulve
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 3:35 am        Reply with quote

Pretty boring debate. Not the game changer McCain needed.

Though there was this.

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dementia



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 3:40 am        Reply with quote

BalbanesBeoulve wrote:
Pretty boring debate. Not the game changer McCain needed.

Though there was this.


Oh god, he clearly meant "that senator".
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G.
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 3:43 am        Reply with quote

Quote:
Oh god, he clearly meant "black one".
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rabite gets whacked!



Joined: 05 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 3:44 am        Reply with quote

BalbanesBeoulve wrote:

Though there was that one.


Yeah, CNN's numbers from their debate poll are hilarious; Obama up 20 points on the economy (and 40 on likability or something, jesus), leading on the "better commander" question. The Republicans pretty much need to find a bay full of swiftboats or an assassin at this point.
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GcDiaz



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 3:57 am        Reply with quote

What they should have found was something to hang over Colin Powell so he would've run for the job. From day one, he's been the only candidate they could really sell to us.
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rabite gets whacked!



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:18 am        Reply with quote

I was saying two years ago that a McCain/Powell ticket would have been unbeatable, and thinking more about it, those are the only two big names in the party now. Who do the republicans go to in 4 years? Their other celebrity (Schwarzenegger) isn't eligible for the presidency, and Condi Rice probably wouldn't hold up through vetting to prop up the back half of a ticket.
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BalbanesBeoulve
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:25 am        Reply with quote

Huckabee might try again. Wouldn't surprise me if Palin did a solo run in 2012 too.
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rabite gets whacked!



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:28 am        Reply with quote

Very serious question:

Is the "G" in the left eye or the right, or is Putin just on some serious transcendency shit?
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CubaLibre
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:29 am        Reply with quote

rabite gets whacked! wrote:
I was saying two years ago that a McCain/Powell ticket would have been unbeatable, and thinking more about it, those are the only two big names in the party now. Who do the republicans go to in 4 years? Their other celebrity (Schwarzenegger) isn't eligible for the presidency, and Condi Rice probably wouldn't hold up through vetting to prop up the back half of a ticket.

I'm making a serious bet that if Schwarzenegger really wanted to run they'd find a way to let him. Constitutionally, I mean.

The real problem with him is not some Article II formalism but rather the fact that he would totally alienate the entire Rovian base. It would certainly shake the hell out of things, and in this climate it's anyone's game. He's a "traditionally" "unelectable" Republican candidate, though.
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scratchmonkey
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:32 am        Reply with quote

He would also piss off the entire religious wing, as he doesn't seem to give two shits about that sort of thing. I have a feeling he might be elected if he managed to get the nomination though.
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rabite gets whacked!



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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:34 am        Reply with quote

But he's also "famous" and "The Terminator."

I dunno, his experience as Bush's fitness guy vs. Palin's foreign policy?
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BalbanesBeoulve
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:35 am        Reply with quote

A Democratic senate and congress wouldn't go through the trouble needed to let Arnold run for president.
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CubaLibre
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:37 am        Reply with quote

Vehicular Manslaughter wrote:
He would also piss off the entire religious wing

CubaLibre wrote:
Rovian base

Balbanes they might. He might very well be a better President for them than, even, a Democrat.
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scratchmonkey
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:39 am        Reply with quote

Yeah, I figured that's what you meant; you also could have meant the neocon movement specifically though.

(Although you could make a real good case that the neocon movement is really something that started a long time ago and that the evangelical shift into politics in the 1980 election was part of that.)
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BalbanesBeoulve
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:40 am        Reply with quote

I can see both sides opposing it. Obviously the democrats because it'd allow a strong challenger. But I can't see republicans supporting it. They don't even want immigrants in this country picking our vegetables, can you imagine the uproar over a foreigner stealing the top American job?
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CubaLibre
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:47 am        Reply with quote

Yeah, that's the traditional wisdom that I identified. But the times they are a changin. There's an honest to God black man (more or less), and a Hawaiian to boot, poised to take the Presidency. On top of that, politics get crazy in economic crises - just look at the Depression and the New Deal. People are up for anything that sounds like a change in those circumtances, and if Schwarzenegger stands for anything it's a break from boring old two-party dichotomy partisanship (in a much more substantial way than Obama if I do say so myself).

It's certainly not a sure thing but I could see it being a big gamble that wins big. As mentioned before, what the hell else are the Republicans gonna do, anyway? The only other option they have is to swing superconservative and attempt to "energize the base" (e.g. Huckabee) in ways Rove could only orgasm about in his wildest dreams. Historically this strategy has met with little success.
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negativedge
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:47 am        Reply with quote

You're assuming the Congress will be democratic in 2012, for starters. Also, the Republicans could probably start treating the religious right and nutjob wacko supporters the same way the democrats treat poor black people. Which is to say, they could simple go: "yeah, we're going to ignore you. Go to the other side. We fucking dare you."

Then again, hey, Ronald Reagan was a Hollywood guy that became the governor of California and those people are all up on his dick. It's a marketing problem, is all.
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CubaLibre
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:50 am        Reply with quote

I don't think the Reagan comparison holds much water. Their politics are wildly different.

Of course "joe six pack doesn't listen to the issues he just sees all the superficial shit lol" but their politics really are so wildly different I think even Dumb Americans could see the difference.
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BalbanesBeoulve
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:53 am        Reply with quote

negativedge wrote:
You're assuming the Congress will be democratic in 2012, for starters.


Well it's going to be until January 2011, at the very least. Seeing how early campaigns start, the new republican house and senate theoretically elected in 2010 would have to haul ass and get this thing passed quickly. I just don't see it happening.
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negativedge
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:54 am        Reply with quote

But, like, where are those people going to go? Is Obama going to call out Ahhnold and be like "sup bitches, this guy ain't all about your shit, vote for ME." They'll just disappear as a crucial voting bloc, like in the 60's and 70's. Or he could just go all Rovian. Bush, though I guess he found Jesus late in life or whatever, was a rich partier from an elite family that went to Yale. On paper, that doesn't exactly scream "Bible Belt" to me.
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